Will “Immigrant / Migrant” be said at the next Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Immigrant / Migrant” was said at the Congressional hearings on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Congressional hearings
Immigrant / Migrant
- Probability
- 55% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Immigrant / Migrant |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 8, 2026 | Immigrant / Migrant | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Immigrant / Migrant” said at the Congressional hearings?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Immigrant / Migrant” was said at the Congressional hearings on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “Immigrant / Migrant” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Immigrant / Migrant’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/immigrant-or-migrant (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=immigrant%20%2F%20migrant · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP