Will “Elon / DOGE” be said at the next Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Elon / DOGE” was not said at the Congressional hearings on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Congressional hearings
Elon / DOGE
- Probability
- 42% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Elon / DOGE |  Kalshi | No |
| Jan 8, 2026 | Elon / DOGE | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Elon / DOGE” said at the Congressional hearings?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Elon / DOGE” was not said at the Congressional hearings on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026.
- What is the probability “Elon / DOGE” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Elon / DOGE’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/doge-or-elon (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=doge%20%2F%20elon · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP