MrBeast: Episode, Feb 20, 2026
Polymarket What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?
Markets
19 words · 5 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feastables | Yes | 39%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Car / Supercar | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Massive | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MrBeast | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Challenge | No | 63%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Subscribe | No | 55%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Insane | No | 41%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Beast Games | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cocoa 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dollar 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Eliminated | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Helicopter / Jet | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mystery Box | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tesla / Lamborghini | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trap | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World's Biggest / World's Largest | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Island | No | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Chocolate 3+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-youtube-video · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP