What is the probability “Beast Games” is said on MrBeast next time?

24%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will “Beast Games” be said on MrBeast next time?

Name: MrBeast: “Beast Games” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Beast Games” was not said on MrBeast at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

24%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
Streak: not said the last 4 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 08:17 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

MrBeast

Beast Games

Probability: 24% · n=4
Settled: 0/4 (0%)
Last 6 episodes: said in 0 of 5 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video? · not listed

Open the appearance