Special Report with Bret Baier

News · Fox NewsShowMachine-attributedUpdated Oct 23, 2026, 22:21 UTC

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As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 67 word markets on Special Report with Bret Baier since 2026, on 50 different words.

History Wall

1–40 of 51, most settled first · page 1 of 2

Special Report with Bret Baier: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Jun 16episode	Jun 23episode	Sep 11episode	Sep 14episode	Oct 7latest	Last 5	Settled	Probability
AI / Artificial Intelligence	–Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 23 episode	2 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 11 episode, counts as said	3 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 14 episode, counts as said	10 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 7 episode, counts as said	3/3100%	3/3100%	53%n=3 from settlement history
China / Chinese	–Not listed: China / Chinese, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: China / Chinese, Jun 23 episode	0 times: China / Chinese, Sep 11 episode	3 times: China / Chinese, Sep 14 episode, counts as said	2 times: China / Chinese, Oct 7 episode, counts as said	2/367%	2/367%	47%n=3 from settlement history
Iran / Iranian	YSaid: Iran / Iranian, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 23 episode	5 times: Iran / Iranian, Sep 11 episode, counts as said	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 7 episode	2/2100%	2/2100%	44%n=2 from settlement history
Data Center	–Not listed: Data Center, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Data Center, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Data Center, Sep 11 episode	0 times: Data Center, Sep 14 episode	1 time: Data Center, Oct 7 episode, counts as said	1/250%	1/250%	42%n=2 from settlement history
Democrat	YSaid: Democrat, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Democrat, Jun 23 episode	0 times: Democrat, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Democrat, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Democrat, Oct 7 episode	1/250%	1/250%	36%n=2 from settlement history
Election	YSaid: Election, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Election, Jun 23 episode	0 times: Election, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Election, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Election, Oct 7 episode	1/250%	1/250%	36%n=2 from settlement history
Surveillance / FISA	YSaid: Surveillance / FISA, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Surveillance / FISA, Jun 23 episode	0 times: Surveillance / FISA, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Surveillance / FISA, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Surveillance / FISA, Oct 7 episode	1/250%	1/250%	36%n=2 from settlement history
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	NNot said: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 16 episode	YSaid: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 7 episode	1/250%	1/250%	39%n=2 from settlement history
Nuclear	YSaid: Nuclear, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Nuclear, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Nuclear, Sep 14 episode	0 times: Nuclear, Oct 7 episode	1/250%	1/250%	35%n=2 from settlement history
Russia / Russian	–Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jun 16 episode	YSaid: Russia / Russian, Jun 23 episode	0 times: Russia / Russian, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Russia / Russian, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Russia / Russian, Oct 7 episode	1/250%	1/250%	36%n=2 from settlement history
Trump	–Not listed: Trump, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Trump, Jun 23 episode	1 time: Trump, Sep 11 episode, counts as said	–Not listed: Trump, Sep 14 episode	0 times: Trump, Oct 7 episode	1/250%	1/250%	38%n=2 from settlement history
Trump3+ times	NNot said: Trump (3+ times), Jun 16 episode	YSaid: Trump (3+ times), Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Oct 7 episode	1/250%	1/250%	39%n=2 from settlement history
Ukraine	–Not listed: Ukraine, Jun 16 episode	YSaid: Ukraine, Jun 23 episode	0 times: Ukraine, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Ukraine, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Ukraine, Oct 7 episode	1/250%	1/250%	36%n=2 from settlement history
Hormuz	NNot said: Hormuz, Jun 16 episode	NNot said: Hormuz, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Hormuz, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Hormuz, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Hormuz, Oct 7 episode	0/20%	0/20%	36%n=2 from settlement history
Elon / Altman	–Not listed: Elon / Altman, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Elon / Altman, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Elon / Altman, Sep 11 episode	2 times: Elon / Altman, Sep 14 episode, counts as said	–Not listed: Elon / Altman, Oct 7 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Dario / Amodei	–Not listed: Dario / Amodei, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Dario / Amodei, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Dario / Amodei, Sep 11 episode	1 time: Dario / Amodei, Sep 14 episode, counts as said	–Not listed: Dario / Amodei, Oct 7 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Blue Origin	–Not listed: Blue Origin, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Blue Origin, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Blue Origin, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Blue Origin, Sep 14 episode	9 times: Blue Origin, Oct 7 episode, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Moon / Lunar	–Not listed: Moon / Lunar, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Moon / Lunar, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Moon / Lunar, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Moon / Lunar, Sep 14 episode	20 times: Moon / Lunar, Oct 7 episode, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
NASA	–Not listed: NASA, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: NASA, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: NASA, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: NASA, Sep 14 episode	1 time: NASA, Oct 7 episode, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
New Glenn	–Not listed: New Glenn, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: New Glenn, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: New Glenn, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: New Glenn, Sep 14 episode	2 times: New Glenn, Oct 7 episode, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Regulation / Regulate / Regulated	–Not listed: Regulation / Regulate / Regulated, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Regulation / Regulate / Regulated, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Regulation / Regulate / Regulated, Sep 11 episode	0 times: Regulation / Regulate / Regulated, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Regulation / Regulate / Regulated, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Terrorist / Terrorism	–Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jun 23 episode	4 times: Terrorist / Terrorism, Sep 11 episode, counts as said	–Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Oct 7 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
American Dream	NNot said: American Dream, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: American Dream, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: American Dream, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: American Dream, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: American Dream, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Artemis	–Not listed: Artemis, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Artemis, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Artemis, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Artemis, Sep 14 episode	0 times: Artemis, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Automate / Automated / Automation	–Not listed: Automate / Automated / Automation, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Automate / Automated / Automation, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Automate / Automated / Automation, Sep 11 episode	0 times: Automate / Automated / Automation, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Automate / Automated / Automation, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Recession / Bubble	–Not listed: Recession / Bubble, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Recession / Bubble, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Recession / Bubble, Sep 11 episode	0 times: Recession / Bubble, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Recession / Bubble, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Ceasefire	–Not listed: Ceasefire, Jun 16 episode	NNot said: Ceasefire, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Ceasefire, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Ceasefire, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Ceasefire, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
FBI / CIA	–Not listed: FBI / CIA, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: FBI / CIA, Jun 23 episode	0 times: FBI / CIA, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: FBI / CIA, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: FBI / CIA, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Claude / Mythos	–Not listed: Claude / Mythos, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Claude / Mythos, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Claude / Mythos, Sep 11 episode	0 times: Claude / Mythos, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Claude / Mythos, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Drone	–Not listed: Drone, Jun 16 episode	NNot said: Drone, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Drone, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Drone, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Drone, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Economy / Economic	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Sep 11 episode	0 times: Economy / Economic, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Elon / Musk	–Not listed: Elon / Musk, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Elon / Musk, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Elon / Musk, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Elon / Musk, Sep 14 episode	0 times: Elon / Musk, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Epstein	–Not listed: Epstein, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Epstein, Jun 23 episode	0 times: Epstein, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Epstein, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Epstein, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Tulsi / Gabbard	–Not listed: Tulsi / Gabbard, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Tulsi / Gabbard, Jun 23 episode	0 times: Tulsi / Gabbard, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Tulsi / Gabbard, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Tulsi / Gabbard, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
GDP / Gross Domestic Product	–Not listed: GDP / Gross Domestic Product, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: GDP / Gross Domestic Product, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: GDP / Gross Domestic Product, Sep 11 episode	0 times: GDP / Gross Domestic Product, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: GDP / Gross Domestic Product, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
ICE / TSA	NNot said: ICE / TSA, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: ICE / TSA, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: ICE / TSA, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: ICE / TSA, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: ICE / TSA, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Israel / Israeli	–Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Jun 16 episode	NNot said: Israel / Israeli, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Zohran / Mamdani	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Jun 23 episode	0 times: Zohran / Mamdani, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
NATO	NNot said: NATO, Jun 16 episode	–Not listed: NATO, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: NATO, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: NATO, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: NATO, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation	–Not listed: Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation, Jun 16 episode	NNot said: Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation, Jun 23 episode	–Not listed: Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation, Sep 11 episode	–Not listed: Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation, Sep 14 episode	–Not listed: Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation, Oct 7 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

More words (11 left)

Citeparrot.markets, “Special Report with Bret Baier: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/special-report-with-bret-baier (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/special-report-with-bret-baier · words: /api/v1/history?entity=special-report-with-bret-baier · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP