Will “Recession / Bubble” be said on Special Report next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Recession / Bubble” was not said on Special Report in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 14, 2026.
Of the last 3 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 7, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Special Report with Bret Baier
Recession / Bubble
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Recession / Bubble |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Recession / Bubble” said on Special Report?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Recession / Bubble” was not said on Special Report in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “Recession / Bubble” is said on Special Report next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Special Report: ‘Recession / Bubble’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/special-report-with-bret-baier/words/bubble-or-recession (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=special-report-with-bret-baier&word=bubble%20%2F%20recession · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=special-report-with-bret-baier&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP