Will “Israel / Israeli” be said on Special Report next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Israel / Israeli” was not said on Special Report in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Special Report with Bret Baier

Israel / Israeli

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

video/ad/promootherSpecial Report with Bret Baier (Fox News), September 11, 2026 · Sep 11, 2026 · 0:01In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Jeff Bezos say during Special Report with Bret Baier? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Anthropic co-founder say during Fox News: Special Report? · not listed

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What will Jay Clayton say during Fox News: Special Report? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: Special Report? · settled no

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What will John Thune say during Fox News: Special Report? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 23, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Israel / Israeli” said on Special Report?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Israel / Israeli” was not said on Special Report in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
What is the probability “Israel / Israeli” is said on Special Report next time?
37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Special Report: ‘Israel / Israeli’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/special-report-with-bret-baier/words/israel-or-israeli (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=special-report-with-bret-baier&word=israel%20%2F%20israeli · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=special-report-with-bret-baier&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP