Will “Terrorist / Terrorism” be said on Special Report next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Terrorist / Terrorism” was said on Special Report in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 11, 2026.

Of the last 3 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 7, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Special Report with Bret Baier

Terrorist / Terrorism

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 3 episodes
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jeff Bezos say during Special Report with Bret Baier? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Anthropic co-founder say during Fox News: Special Report? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jay Clayton say during Fox News: Special Report? · said 4 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

4 counted; 11 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jay Claytonguest11:47In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Jay Claytonguest13:37In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: Special Report? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will John Thune say during Fox News: Special Report? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 11, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes4

Questions

How often is “Terrorist / Terrorism” said on Special Report?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Terrorist / Terrorism” was said on Special Report in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 11, 2026.
What is the probability “Terrorist / Terrorism” is said on Special Report next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Special Report: ‘Terrorist / Terrorism’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/special-report-with-bret-baier/words/terrorism-or-terrorist (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=special-report-with-bret-baier&word=terrorism%20%2F%20terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=special-report-with-bret-baier&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP