Special Report with Bret Baier (Fox News), October 7, 2026
On the Oct 7, 2026 episode of Special Report with Bret Baier, 7 of the 15 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
UpdatedMarkets
15 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moon / Lunar | Yes | 20 | 27 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 10 | 16 | ✓ | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Blue Origin | Yes | 9 | 29 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 2 | 6 | ✓ | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| New Glenn | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NASA | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Data Center | Yes | 1 | 4 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 13 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nuclear | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Artemis | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Robot / Robotics | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SpaceX | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Washington Post | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/special-report-with-bret-baier:2026-10-07:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=special-report-with-bret-baier:2026-10-07:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP