Will “Trump” be said 3+ times on Special Report next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on Special Report in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 16, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Special Report with Bret Baier
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 39% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Trump (3+ times)” said on Special Report?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on Special Report in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 16, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump (3+ times)” is said on Special Report next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Special Report: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/special-report-with-bret-baier/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=special-report-with-bret-baier&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=special-report-with-bret-baier&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP