Will “Hormuz” be said on Special Report next time?
As of Oct 23, 2026, “Hormuz” was not said on Special Report in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
36%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceSpecial Report with Bret Baier
Hormuz
- Probability
- 36% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shownQuestions
- How often is “Hormuz” said on Special Report?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, “Hormuz” was not said on Special Report in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “Hormuz” is said on Special Report next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Special Report: ‘Hormuz’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/special-report-with-bret-baier/words/hormuz (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=special-report-with-bret-baier&word=hormuz · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=special-report-with-bret-baier&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP