Will “Hormuz” be said on Special Report next time?

As of Oct 23, 2026, “Hormuz” was not said on Special Report in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

36%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Special Report with Bret Baier

Hormuz

Probability
36% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jeff Bezos say during Special Report with Bret Baier? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Anthropic co-founder say during Fox News: Special Report? · not listed

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What will Jay Clayton say during Fox News: Special Report? · not listed

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What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: Special Report? · settled no

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What will John Thune say during Fox News: Special Report? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 23, 2026HormuzKalshiNo
Jun 16, 2026HormuzKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Hormuz” said on Special Report?
As of Oct 23, 2026, “Hormuz” was not said on Special Report in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 16, 2026.
What is the probability “Hormuz” is said on Special Report next time?
36%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Special Report: ‘Hormuz’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/special-report-with-bret-baier/words/hormuz (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=special-report-with-bret-baier&word=hormuz · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=special-report-with-bret-baier&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP