Special Report with Bret Baier: Episode, Jun 16, 2026
Kalshi What will John Thune say during Fox News: Special Report?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Election | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FISA / Surveillance | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| American Dream | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hormuz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World Cup | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / TSA | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSPECIALREPORTMENTION-26JUN16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP