Will “New Glenn” be said on Special Report next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “New Glenn” was said on Special Report in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 7, 2026.

Of the last 3 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 7, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Special Report with Bret Baier

New Glenn

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 3 episodes
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jeff Bezos say during Special Report with Bret Baier? · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

2 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jeff Bezosguest44:25In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Jeff Bezosguest48:49In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Anthropic co-founder say during Fox News: Special Report? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jay Clayton say during Fox News: Special Report? · not listed

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What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: Special Report? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will John Thune say during Fox News: Special Report? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 7, 2026New GlennKalshiYes2

Questions

How often is “New Glenn” said on Special Report?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “New Glenn” was said on Special Report in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 7, 2026.
What is the probability “New Glenn” is said on Special Report next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Special Report: ‘New Glenn’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/special-report-with-bret-baier/words/new-glenn (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=special-report-with-bret-baier&word=new%20glenn · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=special-report-with-bret-baier&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP