Will “AI / Artificial Intelligence” appear on the next NYT front page?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “AI / Artificial Intelligence” appeared on the NYT front page on 14 of 14 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 3, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 64% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 8.
- Last 10
- 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 10 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceThe New York Times (front page)
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Probability
- 64% · n=14
- Settled
- 14/14 (100%)
- Last 8 front pages
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
11 counted.
Snooze Button On A.I. Alarm
China Warns of A.I. Threat
Counts: anyone
4 counted.
Big A.I. Payout Sets Publishers Against Authors
Trump Posts Stream of A.I. And Pure Ego
Counts: anyone
1 counted.
Kenyans Wrote College Essays For Americans. Then Came A.I.
Every settled listing
newest first · 14 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence |  Polymarket | Yes | 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | 6 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 26, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 19, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 12, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 5, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 28, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 21, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 31, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 3, 2026 | Artificial Intelligence / AI | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does “AI / Artificial Intelligence” appear on the NYT front page?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “AI / Artificial Intelligence” appeared on the NYT front page on 14 of 14 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 3, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “AI / Artificial Intelligence” appears on the NYT front page next time?
- 64%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP