NYT front-page headlines, August 24–30, 2026
In the week ending Aug 30, 2026, 5 of the 12 words Polymarket listed appeared in front-page headlines; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12- Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 68%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 67%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Fear | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 50%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 53%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Japan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Earthquake / Quake | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hot / Heat | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Woman | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Gold | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Party | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Spain | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsPrint page (OCR) · The New York Times, front page (print) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
Endangered by Trump’s Wall
VOW TO BLOCK ALL OIL
Deaths by Russian A.I.-Guided Drone Are a First
New Mosquito Fears in Africa
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nyt-front-page:2026-08-30:front_page · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nyt-front-page:2026-08-30:front_page · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP