The New York Times (front page): Front page, Jun 21, 2026
Polymarket What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 15 - June 21)
Markets
17 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil | Yes | 54%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 44%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Football / Soccer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SpaceX | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Apple | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Korea / Korean | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nvidia | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Samsung | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Silly | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Walkable | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mamdani | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inflation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Reform | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Stupid | No | 27%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-the-nyt-front-page-headlines-say-this-week-june-15-june-21-20260612213503327 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP