The New York Times (front page): Front page, Jun 28, 2026

By Jun 28Front pageHistory onlyThe New York Times (front page)

Updated

Markets

18 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes52%n=3 from settlement history–
Trump Yes49%n=2 from settlement history–
Tesla Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Border Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Inflation Yes27%n=2 from settlement history–
Deal No45%n=2 from settlement history–
SpaceX No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
IPO No–new new word, no probability yet–
Kevin No–new new word, no probability yet–
Netherlands No–new new word, no probability yet–
Train No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trillion / Trillionaire No–new new word, no probability yet–
Budget No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Prime Minister No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Rigged No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Senate No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Slave No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
United Nations No–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

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