The New York Times (front page): Front page, May 3, 2026
Polymarket What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)
Markets
24 words · 10 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence / AI | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Donald / Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hegseth | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Powell | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stock | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Anthropic / Claude | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomenei | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ceasefire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hezbollah | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| S&P | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Strait of Hormuz / Strait / Hormuz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Warsh | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-the-nyt-front-page-headlines-say-this-week · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP