Will “Democrat” be said on Meet the Press next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Democrat” was said on Meet the Press in 5 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (83%), most recently on Aug 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 23, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

54%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Meet the Press

Democrat

Probability
54% · n=6
Settled
5/6 (83%)
Last 5 episodes
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Bill Gates say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Cory Booker say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Jamie Raskin say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Ted Cruz say during Meet the Press? · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

5 counted; 21 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ted Cruzguest7:28In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Ted Cruzguest8:32In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Tim Scott say during Meet the Press? · said 9 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

9 counted; 27 by speakers the rule does not count.

Tim Scottguest8:54In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Tim Scottguest12:48In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Mike Waltz say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Ro Khanna say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 30, 2026DemocratKalshiYes5
Aug 23, 2026DemocratKalshiYes9
May 31, 2026DemocratKalshiYes–
May 10, 2026DemocratKalshiNo–
Apr 12, 2026DemocratKalshiYes–
Mar 30, 2026DemocratKalshiYes–

Questions

How often is “Democrat” said on Meet the Press?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Democrat” was said on Meet the Press in 5 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (83%), most recently on Aug 30, 2026.
What is the probability “Democrat” is said on Meet the Press next time?
54%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Meet the Press: ‘Democrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/meet-the-press/words/democrat (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meet-the-press&word=democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meet-the-press&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP