Meet the Press: Episode, May 10, 2026
Kalshi What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press?
Markets
13 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran / Iranian | No | 68%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 66%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / Border | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Republican | No | 57%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Military | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Racism / Racist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 33%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMTPMENTION-26MAY10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP