Will “Nuclear” be said on Fox News next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nuclear” was said on Fox News in 6 of 8 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (75%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 6/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Fox News (interviews)
Nuclear
- Probability
- 46% · n=8
- Settled
- 6/8 (75%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 14 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Nuclear |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nuclear | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 11, 2026 | Nuclear | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Nuclear | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Nuclear | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Nuclear | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Nuclear | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Nuclear | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Nuclear” said on Fox News?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nuclear” was said on Fox News in 6 of 8 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (75%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026.
- What is the probability “Nuclear” is said on Fox News next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘Nuclear’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/nuclear (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=nuclear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP