Fox News (interviews): Episode, Apr 11, 2026
Kalshi What will Jared Isaacman say during his Fox News interview?
Markets
14 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moon Base / Lunar Base | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mars | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| President / Prime Minister | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nuclear | No | 63%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Invest / Invested / Investment | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Alien | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crater | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gravity | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Discover / Discovery | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Eclipse | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Toilet | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SpaceX / Elon | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Houston | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ISS / International Space Station | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26APR11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP