Will “NATO” be said on Fox News next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “NATO” was said on Fox News in 2 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (40%), most recently on Apr 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

35%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Fox News (interviews)

NATO

Probability
35% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: America Reports? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Joe Manchin say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mike Johnson say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Ron DeSantis say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Rand Paul say during Fox News: The Will Cain Show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mike Lawler say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 1, 2026NATOKalshiNo
May 23, 2026NATOKalshiNo
Apr 5, 2026NATOKalshiYes
Mar 22, 2026NATOKalshiNo
Jan 22, 2026NATOKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “NATO” said on Fox News?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “NATO” was said on Fox News in 2 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (40%), most recently on Apr 5, 2026.
What is the probability “NATO” is said on Fox News next time?
35%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘NATO’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/nato (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=nato · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP