Will “Illegal Alien” be said on Fox News next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Illegal Alien” was not said on Fox News in any of the 8 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
34%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 8 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Fox News (interviews)
Illegal Alien
- Probability
- 34% · n=8
- Settled
- 0/8 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Illegal Alien |  Kalshi | No |
| May 12, 2026 | Illegal Alien | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Illegal Alien | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Illegal Alien | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Illegal Alien | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Illegal Alien | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Illegal Alien | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Illegal Alien | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Illegal Alien” said on Fox News?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Illegal Alien” was not said on Fox News in any of the 8 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 1, 2026.
- What is the probability “Illegal Alien” is said on Fox News next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘Illegal Alien’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/illegal-alien (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=illegal%20alien · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP