Will “Crime / Criminal” be said on Fox News next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Crime / Criminal” was said on Fox News in 6 of 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 28, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 6/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Fox News (interviews)
Crime / Criminal
- Probability
- 40% · n=9
- Settled
- 6/9 (67%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crime / Criminal |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Crime / Criminal | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Crime / Criminal | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Crime / Criminal | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 30, 2026 | Crime / Criminal | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 28, 2026 | Crime / Criminal | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 12, 2026 | Crime / Criminal | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Crime / Criminal | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Crime / Criminal | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Crime / Criminal” said on Fox News?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Crime / Criminal” was said on Fox News in 6 of 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 28, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
- What is the probability “Crime / Criminal” is said on Fox News next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘Crime / Criminal’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/crime-or-criminal (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=crime%20%2F%20criminal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP