Will Jerome Powell say “Good Morning”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Good Morning” at 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 4, 2025 (17%), most recently on May 15, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 16% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

16%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jerome Powell

Good Morning

Probability
16% · n=6
Settled
1/6 (17%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jerome Powell say during his acceptance remarks for the JFK Courage Award? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks at Harvard University? · settled no

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What will Jerome Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · settled no

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks on George Shultz's economic policy contributions? · not listed

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What will Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his Speech? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his speech on October 14? · not listed

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What Will Powell Say During His Speech? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium? · settled no

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What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 30, 2026Good MorningKalshiNo
Mar 19, 2026Good MorningKalshiNo
Aug 24, 2025Good morningKalshiNo
Aug 22, 2025Good MorningPolymarketNo
May 15, 2025Good MorningKalshiYes
Apr 4, 2025Good morningKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Jerome Powell say “Good Morning”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Good Morning” at 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 4, 2025 (17%), most recently on May 15, 2025.
What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Good Morning” next time?
16%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Good Morning’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/good-morning (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=good%20morning · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP