Will Jerome Powell say “Good Afternoon”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Good Afternoon” at 1 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 4, 2025 (11%), most recently on May 25, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 14% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 8.

14%from settlement history only · n=9counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 7 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jerome Powell

Good Afternoon

Probability
14% · n=9
Settled
1/9 (11%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, April 29, 2026 · Apr 29, 2026In transcript

Good afternoon. My colleagues and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the…

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, March 18, 2026 · Mar 18, 2026In transcript

Good afternoon. My colleagues and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the…

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, January 28, 2026 · Jan 28, 2026 · 0:13In transcript

Good afternoon. My colleagues and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the…

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, December 10, 2025 · Dec 10, 2025In transcript

Good afternoon. My colleagues and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the…

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, October 29, 2025 · Oct 29, 2025In transcript

Good afternoon. My colleagues and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the…

What will Jerome Powell say during his acceptance remarks for the JFK Courage Award? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks at Harvard University? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · settled no

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks on George Shultz's economic policy contributions? · settled no

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What will Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · settled no

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What will Powell say during his Speech? · settled no

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What will Powell say during his speech on October 14? · settled no

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What Will Powell Say During His Speech? · settled no

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What will Jerome Powell say during his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium? · settled no

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What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 9 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 19, 2026Good AfternoonKalshiNo
Dec 2, 2025Good AfternoonKalshiNo
Oct 25, 2025Good AfternoonKalshiNo
Oct 15, 2025Good AfternoonKalshiNo
Oct 14, 2025Good AfternoonPolymarketNo
Sep 23, 2025Good AfternoonKalshiNo
Aug 24, 2025Good afternoonKalshiNo
May 25, 2025Good afternoonPolymarketYes
Apr 4, 2025Good afternoonKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Jerome Powell say “Good Afternoon”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Good Afternoon” at 1 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 4, 2025 (11%), most recently on May 25, 2025.
What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Good Afternoon” next time?
14%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Good Afternoon’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/good-afternoon (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=good%20afternoon · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP