Will “Drama” be said on Love Island USA next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Drama” was said on Love Island USA in 16 of 34 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 2, 2026 (47%), most recently on Jul 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=34, from settlement history), not a forecast.

38%from settlement history only · n=34counts: contestants (not the host)
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no no no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
contestants (not the host)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Love Island USA

Drama

Probability
38% · n=34
Settled
16/34 (47%)

Next listing counts: contestants (not the host)

We don’t have transcripts for Love Island USA yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the cast say during the Love Island Finale? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the hosts say during Love Island Aftersun? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 33? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 32? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 31? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 30? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 29? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will be said during Love Island USA Episode 28? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 27? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 26? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 46 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 12, 2026DramaPolymarketNo
Jul 12, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jul 11, 2026DramaPolymarketYes
Jul 11, 2026DramaKalshiYes
Jul 10, 2026DramaPolymarketNo
Jul 10, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jul 9, 2026DramaPolymarketNo
Jul 9, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jul 7, 2026DramaPolymarketNo
Jul 7, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jul 6, 2026DramaPolymarketNo
Jul 6, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jul 5, 2026DramaPolymarketYes
Jul 5, 2026DramaKalshiYes
Jul 4, 2026DramaPolymarketYes
Jul 3, 2026DramaPolymarketYes
Jul 3, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jul 2, 2026DramaPolymarketYes
Jul 2, 2026DramaKalshiYes
Jun 30, 2026DramaPolymarketNo
Jun 30, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jun 29, 2026DramaPolymarketYes
Jun 29, 2026DramaKalshiYes
Jun 28, 2026DramaPolymarketYes
Jun 27, 2026DramaPolymarketYes
Jun 26, 2026DramaPolymarketYes
Jun 25, 2026DramaPolymarketYes
Jun 25, 2026DramaKalshiYes
Jun 23, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jun 22, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jun 21, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jun 20, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jun 19, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jun 18, 2026DramaKalshiYes
Jun 16, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jun 15, 2026DramaKalshiYes
Jun 15, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jun 12, 2026DramaKalshiYes
Jun 11, 2026DramaKalshiYes
Jun 9, 2026DramaKalshiYes
Jun 8, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jun 7, 2026DramaKalshiYes
Jun 6, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jun 4, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jun 3, 2026DramaKalshiNo
Jun 2, 2026DramaKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Drama” said on Love Island USA?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Drama” was said on Love Island USA in 16 of 34 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 2, 2026 (47%), most recently on Jul 11, 2026.
What is the probability “Drama” is said on Love Island USA next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=34). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: contestants (not the host).

Cite parrot.markets, “Love Island USA: ‘Drama’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/love-island-usa/words/drama (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=love-island-usa&word=drama · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=love-island-usa&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP