Love Island USA: Episode, Jun 15, 2026
Kalshi What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 11?
Markets
19 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: contestants (not the host) Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Date / Dating | Yes | 69%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Bombshell | Yes | 69%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Pull you for a chat | Yes | 59%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Messy | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ex | Yes | 44%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Hideaway | Yes | 15%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Drama | No | 44%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Firepit | No | 37%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Loyal / Loyalty | No | 35%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| IG / Instagram / TikTok | No | 26%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Marry / Married / Marriage | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ick | No | 24%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Fiji | No | 22%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal | No | 18%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Heartbroken / Heartbreak | No | 18%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Where's your head at | No | 18%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Dump / Dumped | No | 18%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Prize / 100k / 100,000 | No | 15%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Casa Amor | No | 14%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUN15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP