Love Island USA: Episode, Jun 19, 2026
Kalshi What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 15?
Markets
19 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: contestants (not the host) Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bombshell | Yes | 71%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Messy | Yes | 64%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Date / Dating | Yes | 63%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Dump / Dumped | Yes | 28%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Firepit | Yes | 22%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal | Yes | 14%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Pull you for a chat | No | 53%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Drama | No | 46%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Hideaway | No | 39%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Where's your head at / Where is your head at | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Marry / Married / Marriage | No | 32%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Ex | No | 31%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Loyal / Loyalty | No | 21%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| IG / Instagram / TikTok | No | 19%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Ick | No | 17%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Fiji | No | 16%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Heartbroken / Heartbreak | No | 14%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Prize / 100k / 100,000 | No | 14%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Casa Amor | No | 13%n=13 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUN19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP