Love Island USA: Episode, Jun 29, 2026
Kalshi What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 24?
Polymarket What will be said during Love Island USA Episode 24?
Markets
32 words · 13 settled yes- Kalshi: contestants (not the host) Kalshi
- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enough | Yes | 64%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Date / Dating | Yes | 58%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Casa Amor | Yes | 54%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Genuine | Yes | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Drama | Yes | 43%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Messy | Yes | 38%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Chat 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cute | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Partner | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Where's your head at / Where is your head at | Yes | 28%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Pull you for a chat | Yes | 27%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Loyal / Loyalty | Yes | 22%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Prize / 100k / 100,000 | Yes | 13%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Hideaway | No | 45%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Bombshell | No | 42%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Ick | No | 41%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| No | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – | |
| Villa 20+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Red Flag | No | 37%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Fiji | No | 33%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Ex | No | 25%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| IG / Instagram / TikTok | No | 25%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Heartbroken / Heartbreak | No | 24%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Dump / Dumped | No | 23%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Betray 3+ times | No | 22%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bombshell 5+ times | No | 22%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Influencer | No | 22%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Marry / Married | No | 22%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Snake | No | 22%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Firepit | No | 21%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal | No | 19%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Marry / Married / Marriage | No | 18%n=10 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUN29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP