Love Island USA: Episode, Jul 11, 2026
Kalshi What will the hosts say during Love Island Aftersun?
Polymarket What will be said during Love Island USA Episode 34?
Markets
31 words · 13 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ass | Yes | 72%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Cute / Cutie | Yes | 72%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Love / Lover | Yes | 72%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Relationship | Yes | 72%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Kiss / Kissed | Yes | 69%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Villa 10+ times | Yes | 52%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Exclusive | Yes | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Casa Amor | Yes | 36%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Chat 5+ times | Yes | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Movie Night | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Insta / Instagram | Yes | 28%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Husband | Yes | 28%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Drama | Yes | 20%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Twitter / Social Media | No | 69%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bombshell | No | 49%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Triangle | No | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Vote / Voted | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Peacock | No | 33%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Crush | No | 32%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Green Flag | No | 31%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Wedding | No | 30%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Red Flag | No | 29%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Wife | No | 24%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Casa 10+ times | No | 22%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| No | 16%n=8 from settlement history | – | |
| Tinder | No | 16%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Vibe 5+ times | No | 15%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Bombshell 5+ times | No | 15%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Awkward | No | 14%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fan Favorite | No | 14%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Jealous / Jealousy | No | 14%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUL11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP