Love Island USA: Episode, Jun 4, 2026
Kalshi What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 3?
Markets
17 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: contestants (not the host) Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiji | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Date / Dating | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pull you for a chat | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bombshell | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Firepit | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| IG / Instagram / TikTok | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Dump / Dumped | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ex | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ick | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Paralympic / Paralympian | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Casa Amor | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Drama | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hideaway | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Loyal / Loyalty | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Peacock | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Prize / 100k / 100,000 | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUN04B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP