Love Island USA: Episode, Jun 21, 2026

Sun, Jun 21EpisodeHistory onlyLove Island USA

Updated

Markets

19 words · 7 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Bombshell Yes72%n=15 from settlement history–
Messy Yes56%n=6 from settlement history–
Hideaway Yes34%n=13 from settlement history–
Ex Yes28%n=13 from settlement history–
Casa Amor Yes27%n=15 from settlement history–
Fiji Yes16%n=13 from settlement history–
Ick Yes16%n=15 from settlement history–
Date / Dating No65%n=12 from settlement history–
Pull you for a chat No48%n=12 from settlement history–
Dump / Dumped No38%n=13 from settlement history–
Drama No34%n=15 from settlement history–
Firepit No33%n=13 from settlement history–
Where's your head at / Where is your head at No30%n=3 from settlement history–
Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal No28%n=9 from settlement history–
Marry / Married / Marriage No28%n=6 from settlement history–
Loyal / Loyalty No20%n=13 from settlement history–
IG / Instagram / TikTok No17%n=13 from settlement history–
Heartbroken / Heartbreak No14%n=9 from settlement history–
Prize / 100k / 100,000 No14%n=13 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUN21 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP