Love Island USA: Episode, Jun 20, 2026

Sat, Jun 20EpisodeHistory onlyLove Island USA

Updated

Markets

14 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Bombshell Yes78%n=14 from settlement history–
Kiss / Kissed Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Twitter / Social Media Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Triangle Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Vote / Voter Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Casa Amor Yes10%n=14 from settlement history–
Exclusive No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Red Flag No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Peacock No47%n=5 from settlement history–
Drama No30%n=14 from settlement history–
Awkward No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Fan Favorite No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Jealous / Jealousy No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Ick No13%n=14 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUN20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP