Love Island USA: Episode, Jun 23, 2026
Kalshi What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 19?
Markets
19 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: contestants (not the host) Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hideaway | Yes | 42%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Casa Amor | Yes | 37%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| IG / Instagram / TikTok | Yes | 16%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Heartbroken / Heartbreak | Yes | 14%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Bombshell | No | 72%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Messy | No | 60%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Date / Dating | No | 54%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Pull you for a chat | No | 41%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Ex | No | 37%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Dump / Dumped | No | 33%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Drama | No | 30%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Firepit | No | 29%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Fiji | No | 29%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Ick | No | 28%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Where's your head at / Where is your head at | No | 26%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal | No | 25%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Marry / Married / Marriage | No | 25%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Loyal / Loyalty | No | 19%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Prize / 100k / 100,000 | No | 14%n=14 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUN23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP