Love Island USA: Episode, Jun 6, 2026

Sat, Jun 6EpisodeHistory onlyLove Island USA

Updated

Markets

14 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Bombshell Yes50%n=3 from settlement history–
Kiss / Kissed Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Red Flag Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Twitter / Social Media Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Exclusive Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Peacock Yes19%n=3 from settlement history–
Awkward No–new new word, no probability yet–
Fan Favorite No–new new word, no probability yet–
Jealous / Jealousy No–new new word, no probability yet–
Triangle No–new new word, no probability yet–
Vote / Voter No–new new word, no probability yet–
Ick No30%n=3 from settlement history–
Casa Amor No19%n=3 from settlement history–
Drama No19%n=3 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUN06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP