Love Island USA: Episode, Jul 2, 2026
Kalshi What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 26?
Polymarket What will be said during Love Island USA Episode 26?
Markets
37 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: contestants (not the host) Kalshi
- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Date / Dating | Yes | 65%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Casa Amor | Yes | 61%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Cute / Cutie | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Drama | Yes | 44%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Ass | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Love / Lover | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Relationship | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ick | Yes | 31%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Prize / 100k / 100,000 | Yes | 24%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Chat 10+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Messy | No | 51%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Pull you for a chat | No | 44%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Bombshell | No | 44%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Casa 20+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crush | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No | –new new word, no probability yet | – | |
| Green Flag | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Husband | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tinder | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wedding | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wife | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Insta / Instagram | No | 39%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Red Flag | No | 35%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Hideaway | No | 33%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| IG / Instagram / TikTok | No | 33%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Where's your head at / Where is your head at | No | 33%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Villa 20+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Loyal / Loyalty | No | 28%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Fiji | No | 26%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Ex | No | 21%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Vibe 5+ times | No | 21%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Heartbroken / Heartbreak | No | 20%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Bombshell 5+ times | No | 20%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Dump / Dumped | No | 19%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Firepit | No | 18%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal | No | 17%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Marry / Married / Marriage | No | 16%n=12 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUL02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP