Love Island USA: Episode, Jun 26, 2026

Fri, Jun 26EpisodeHistory onlyLove Island USA

Updated

Markets

17 words · 9 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Date / Dating Yes46%n=15 from settlement history–
Red Flag Yes36%n=2 from settlement history–
Casa 5+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
Chat Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Enough Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Genuine Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Player Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Drama Yes25%n=18 from settlement history–
Loyal / Loyalty Yes19%n=16 from settlement history–
Messy No40%n=9 from settlement history–
Betray 3+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Bombshell 5+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Influencer No–new new word, no probability yet–
Snake No–new new word, no probability yet–
Vibe 5+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Instagram No29%n=16 from settlement history–
Marry / Married No22%n=9 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-love-island-episode-21-20260625173406620 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP