Love Island USA: Episode, Jul 4, 2026

Sat, Jul 4EpisodeHistory onlyLove Island USA

Updated

Markets

19 words · 8 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Drama Yes61%n=26 from settlement history–
Ass Yes60%n=2 from settlement history–
Cute / Cutie Yes60%n=2 from settlement history–
Love / Lover Yes60%n=2 from settlement history–
Relationship Yes60%n=2 from settlement history–
Crush Yes26%n=2 from settlement history–
Insta / Instagram Yes26%n=2 from settlement history–
Wedding Yes26%n=2 from settlement history–
Green Flag No45%n=2 from settlement history–
Chat 10+ timesNo34%n=3 from settlement history–
Red Flag No27%n=10 from settlement history–
Casa 20+ timesNo26%n=2 from settlement history–
Facebook No26%n=2 from settlement history–
Husband No26%n=2 from settlement history–
Tinder No26%n=2 from settlement history–
Wife No26%n=2 from settlement history–
Villa 20+ timesNo23%n=3 from settlement history–
Vibe 5+ timesNo18%n=7 from settlement history–
Bombshell 5+ timesNo17%n=8 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-love-island-usa-episode-28-20260702164648279 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP