Love Island USA: Episode, Jun 25, 2026
Kalshi What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 20?
Polymarket What will be said during Love Island USA Episode 20?
Markets
32 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: contestants (not the host) Kalshi
- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Amor | Yes | 50%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Date / Dating | Yes | 49%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Ick | Yes | 32%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Casa 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chat | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Enough | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Genuine | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drama | Yes | 23%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Fiji | Yes | 23%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Hideaway | No | 53%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Bombshell | No | 50%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Messy | No | 42%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Red Flag | No | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Betray 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bombshell 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Influencer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Player | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Snake | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vibe 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Where's your head at / Where is your head at | No | 32%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Pull you for a chat | No | 30%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| No | 29%n=16 from settlement history | – | |
| Ex | No | 28%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| IG / Instagram / TikTok | No | 28%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Heartbroken / Heartbreak | No | 27%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Dump / Dumped | No | 25%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Firepit | No | 23%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Marry / Married | No | 22%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal | No | 20%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Marry / Married / Marriage | No | 20%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Loyal / Loyalty | No | 16%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Prize / 100k / 100,000 | No | 13%n=16 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUN25 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP