Will “Trump” be said on Jimmy Kimmel Live! next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Trump” was said on Jimmy Kimmel Live! in 8 of 13 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 23, 2025 (62%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.

41%from settlement history only · n=13counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no yes no no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jimmy Kimmel Live!

Trump

Probability
41% · n=13
Settled
8/13 (62%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Jimmy Kimmel Live! yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Martin Short say during Jimmy Kimmel Live!? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Jessie Buckley say during Jimmy Kimmel Live!? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Johnny Knoxville say during Jimmy Kimmel Live!? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Noah Wyle say during Jimmy Kimmel Live!? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Jimmy Kimmel say during The Late Show with Stephen Colbert? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during Jimmy Kimmel Live!? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Jimmy Kimmel say during his alternative Christmas message? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Pete Buttigieg say on Jimmy Kimmel Live!? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Druski say during the Jimmy Kimmel Live!? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Senator Mark Kelly say during Jimmy Kimmel Live!? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 13 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jan 22, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Jan 16, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jan 14, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jan 13, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jan 9, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Dec 26, 2025TrumpKalshiNo
Dec 11, 2025TrumpKalshiYes
Dec 4, 2025TrumpKalshiNo
Nov 26, 2025TrumpKalshiYes
Nov 21, 2025TrumpKalshiYes
Oct 3, 2025TrumpKalshiYes
Sep 24, 2025TrumpKalshiYes
Sep 23, 2025TrumpKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Trump” said on Jimmy Kimmel Live!?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Trump” was said on Jimmy Kimmel Live! in 8 of 13 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 23, 2025 (62%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026.
What is the probability “Trump” is said on Jimmy Kimmel Live! next time?
41%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jimmy Kimmel Live!: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/jimmy-kimmel-live/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jimmy-kimmel-live&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jimmy-kimmel-live&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP