Jimmy Kimmel Live!: Episode, Jan 15, 2026
Kalshi What will Johnny Knoxville say during Jimmy Kimmel Live!?
Markets
10 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Film / Filming / Filmed | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Movie | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Prank / Stunt | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bam / Margera | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fear Factor | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jackass 5 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Joe / Rogan | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Spider / Snake | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Steve-O | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| YouTube / YouTuber | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKIMMELMENTION-26JAN15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP