Jimmy Kimmel Live!: Episode, Jan 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Martin Short say during Jimmy Kimmel Live!?
Markets
8 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Globe / Golden Globes | Yes | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Selena | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Steve / Martin | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | 34%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Jiminy / Glick | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Meryl / Streep | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tour / Touring | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Netflix / Hulu | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKIMMELMENTION-26JAN22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP