Jimmy Kimmel Live!: Episode, Sep 23, 2025
Kalshi What will Kimmel say during his show?
Polymarket What will Jimmy Kimmel say during return show on September 23?
Markets
32 words · 20 settled yes- Kalshi: the host Kalshi
- Polymarket: the host Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| ABC | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Apologize / Sorry 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Autism | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Brendan / Carr | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cast | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Censorship | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Charlie / Kirk | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Colbert | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Comedy / Comedian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Disney | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Disney 2+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FCC | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Free Speech | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Grateful | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kirk | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MAGA | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sorry / Apologize | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Thank you 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tylenol | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cancel Culture | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democracy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dictator | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fascist / Fascism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Midterm | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nexstar / Sinclair | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Obama | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Orange | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vaccine / COVID | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKIMMELMENTION-25SEP23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP