Jimmy Kimmel Live!: Episode, Jan 16, 2026
Kalshi What will Jessie Buckley say during Jimmy Kimmel Live!?
Markets
10 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Globe | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hamnet | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Irish / Accent | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Paul / Mescal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shakespeare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 38%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Chloe / Zhao | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Julia Roberts | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Netflix / Peacock | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wild Rose / Nashville | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKIMMELMENTION-26JAN16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP