Jimmy Kimmel Live!: Episode, Jan 14, 2026
Kalshi What will Noah Wyle say during Jimmy Kimmel Live!?
Markets
10 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doctor / Nurse | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ER / Emergency Room | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Golden Globe | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pittsburgh | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Covid / Pandemic | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Healthcare | No | 51%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 45%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| George / Clooney | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| HBO | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Medicare / Medicaid | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKIMMELMENTION-26JAN14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP