Jimmy Kimmel Live!: Episode, Oct 3, 2025
Kalshi What will Jimmy Kimmel say during his show?
Markets
12 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: the host Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 63%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Crazy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Happy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knicks | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Movie 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Award | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Directing 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sombrero | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| West Point | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Woke | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKIMMELMENTION-25OCT03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP