Jimmy Kimmel Live!: Episode, Dec 4, 2025

Thu, Dec 4EpisodeHistory onlyJimmy Kimmel Live!

Updated

Markets

9 words · 0 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Trump No71%n=5 from settlement history–
Epstein No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
4Lifer No–new new word, no probability yet–
Cancel / Cancelled No–new new word, no probability yet–
Diddy No–new new word, no probability yet–
John Cena No–new new word, no probability yet–
Ozempic No–new new word, no probability yet–
Soulja Boy No–new new word, no probability yet–
Whiteface / White Face No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKIMMELMENTION-25DEC04 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP