Jimmy Kimmel Live!: Episode, Sep 24, 2025
Kalshi What will Jimmy Kimmel say during his show?
Markets
20 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: the host Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| ABC | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Comedy / Comedian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| JD / Vance | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rating | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sorry / Apologize | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Talent | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Charlie / Kirk | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Free Speech | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tylenol | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Acetaminophen | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cancel Culture | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Censorship | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democracy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dictator | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Disney | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Eric / Adams | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fascist / Fascism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MAGA | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nexstar / Sinclair | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKIMMELMENTION-25SEP24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP